Posted by: David Kaufman, Director, Office of Policy and Program Analysis
Throughout last year I blogged about the Strategic Foresight Initiative (SFI) and the work all of the SFI participants have done around exploring the forces of change (i.e. drivers), plausible future operating conditions, challenges, and opportunities. The initiative was designed to identify what the emergency management community would need to be successful regardless of what the future holds.
Today, I’m pleased to announce the release of the Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030 report which includes insights on the future role of emergency and disaster management; strategic needs and gaps the community will have to address; and a look into the emergency management community of 2030. This report presents the following SFI findings to date:
- An examination of the forces of change shaping the emergency management worlds;
- An identification of vital and compelling strategic needs as identified during the SFI workshop as participants explored the five alternative emergency management scenarios; and
- An image of the future emergency management capacities and capabilities.
This report is intended to provide planners and managers with insights that can shape a range of critical decisions, starting today. Such decisions—which can be made in advance of disasters—include improving prioritization of resources and investments, managing new and unfamiliar risks, forging new partnerships, and understanding emerging legal and regulatory hurdles.
FEMA's role in SFI is to coordinate and support the advancement of research and dialogue around these findings and engagement of the emergency management community. Understanding the future is essential; taking action to improve resilience and adaptability throughout our community is imperative. I hope you will join us in further discussion regarding the Strategic Foresight Initiative and future findings by leaving a comment below.
FEMA invites its partners to make full use of this report within their own organizations, and to make it available to their membership and constituency groups, as appropriate.
For more information on the SFI, you can contact the SFI Project Team via email at FEMA-OPPA-SFI@fema.gov and you can visit the SFI web page to read the relevant research papers.